WTPN31 PGTW 151500 SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- NEAR 8.0N8 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.0N8 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 9.6N5 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.9N0 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 11.9N1 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 12.7N0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 13.9N3 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 8.4N2 148.0E3. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 05W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE ANIMATION. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO ORGANIZE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. A 151126Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSMI) PASS INDICATED TWO BANDING FEATURE HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.// NNNN