SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- NEAR 11.3N5 116.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 116.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 12.1N4 114.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 13.3N7 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.7N2 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.5N2 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.9N7 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.5N7 116.3E1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANILA IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 231130Z0 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 231243Z5 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSMI) PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY AND THE RECENT SSMI PASS INDICATE A SMALL SYSTEM, WITH THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8, 240300Z9, 240900Z5 AND 241500Z2.