WTPN31 PGTW 151500    
1. TROPICAL STORM 31W WARNING NR 016    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   151200Z9 --- NEAR 5.2N7 162.6E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF 
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 5.2N7 162.6E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z7 --- 5.2N7 162.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   161200Z0 --- 5.0N5 161.5E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 4.8N2 161.9E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z1 --- 4.7N1 162.5E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z2 --- 4.9N3 163.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 5.2N7 162.4E3
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 31W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 24 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST 
OF THE ISLAND OF KOSRAE, HAS DRIFTED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS 
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND 
SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT 
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. ANIMATED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 150950Z0 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGE 
(SSM/I) SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM 
REMAINS UNORGANIZED AND SHEARED, HINDERING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. 
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO 
WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 
152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.//



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