WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (LEKIMA) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- NEAR 24.8N4 121.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 075 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 121.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.2N9 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.5N2 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.1N9 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 26.6N4 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 27.7N6 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION NEAR 24.9N5 121.7E1. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (LEKIMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 281130Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND RADAR DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS NEAR 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DECREASING ORGANIZATION AND WEAKENING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, 281200Z3 SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS AND RADAR DATA DEPICT TWO 30-35 KNOT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS (LLCC). IN ADDITION TO THE STORM CENTER, THERE IS AN APPARENT LLCC NEAR 23.0N5 120.6E9, OVER SOUTHERN TAIWAN. SEA LEVEL PRESSURE ANALYSIS SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF NEAR 1000.0 MB PRESSURES ACROSS TAIWAN. RADAR SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION WITH THE NORTHERN LLCC, AND ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE SOUTHERN LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3, 290300Z4, 290900Z0 AND 291500Z7.//