WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM 21W (VIPA) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- NEAR 27.5N4 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.7N8 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 32.2N7 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.6N3 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 37.2N2 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 42.7N3 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION NEAR 28.1N1 138.5E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 21W (VIPA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 495 NM SOUTH OF TOKYO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 181130Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND A 181118Z0 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2, 190300Z3, 190900Z9 AND 191500Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (NARI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//