WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (PABUK) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- NEAR 33.5N1 135.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N1 135.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 36.0N9 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 38.5N6 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 43.2N9 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 47.8N9 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 54.7N6 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION NEAR 34.1N8 136.3E3. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W (PABUK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 95 NM SOUTH OF KYOTO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 8 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOWING 973 MB NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6, 220300Z7, 220900Z3 AND 221500Z0.//