WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (PABUK) WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- NEAR 18.8N7 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.4N4 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.6N8 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.2N6 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 24.1N7 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 27.7N6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 19.0N0 145.3E3. RECENT MICROWAVE AND SCATTEROMETRY PASSES REVEAL TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W IS FURTHER WEST AND ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TS 14W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED MULTI-SPECTRAL IMAGERY INDICATED THAT A BROAD CIRCULATION HAD NOT FULLY CONSOLIDATED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH. A 140841Z8 QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWED A DEFINED LLCC AND TROUGHING TO THE WEST ALONG THE MONSOONAL AXIS. WATER VAPOR ANIMATION DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW EQUATORWARD AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8, 150300Z9, 150900Z5 AND 151500Z2. THE JTWC WEBSITE HAS CHANGED TO: HTTPS://WWW.NPMOC.NAVY.MIL/JTWC.HTML. THIS CHANGE IS FOR SECURITY REASONS ONLY. THE CONTENT OF THE WEBSITE HAS NOT CHANGED.// BT #XXXX NNNN