WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM 14W WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- NEAR 18.7N6 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 19.3N3 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.5N7 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 21.7N0 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.1N6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 25.9N6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 18.8N7 145.7E7. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 14W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW PRESSURES CONTINUE TO FALL AS THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS NEAR THE ISLAND OF PAGAN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1, 142100Z8, 150300Z9 AND 150900Z5. THE JTWC WEBSITE HAS CHANGED TO: HTTPS://WWW.NPMOC.NAVY.MIL/JTWC.HTML. THIS CHANGE IS FOR SECURITY REASONS ONLY. THE CONTENT OF THE WEBSITE HAS NOT CHANGED. BT #XXXX NNNN