WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- NEAR 18.1N0 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.0N0 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.9N9 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 21.0N3 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.0N4 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.7N3 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 145.7E7. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 14W HAS DEVELOPED RAPIDLY, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM NORTH OF THE ISLAND OF SAIPAN, AND HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH A DEVELOPING PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BAND SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, PARTICULARLY EQUATORWARD. A 132012Z9 QUIKSCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWED A WELL-DEFINED LLCC WITH EXTENSIVE NEAR-GALE FORCE, GRADIENT WESTERLIES SOUTH OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 132051Z2 AUG 01 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 132100) NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4, 141500Z1, 142100Z8 AND 150300Z9.// NNNN