WTPN31 PGTW 010300    
1. TROPICAL STORM 34W (SOULIK) WARNING NR 013    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   010000Z1 --- NEAR 14.8N3 131.8E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE  
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE  
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 131.8E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 15.8N4 133.3E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE  
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 16.7N4 134.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE  
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 17.8N6 135.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   030000Z3 --- 18.6N5 136.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   040000Z4 --- 20.0N2 139.1E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 15.1N7 132.2E8.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 34W (SOULIK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST 
OF CATANDUANES, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
312330Z2 ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE 
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES 
OF 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS AT THE TAIL 
END OF A LONG FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE SEA. 
THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME ELONGATED ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) STILL APPEARS ORGANIZED. TS 34W IS 
FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE 
FORECAST PERIOD. TS 34W WILL BEGIN WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS 
INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR NORTH OF THE 200 MB RIDGE AXIS. THE SYSTEM 
WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN, AND BEGIN DISSIPATING OVER WATER NEAR THE 
48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 16 
FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 
012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9).//