WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (RUMBIA) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- NEAR 11.2N4 116.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 116.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 11.0N2 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 10.4N5 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 9.7N6 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 8.8N6 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.2N4 115.7E4. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 33W (RUMBIA), LOCATED WEST OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF PALAWAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 35 KNOTS AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS EVIDENT IN VISIBLE IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS WELL TO THE WEST OF THE WEAK LLCC. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRODUCT INDICATES A MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. TD 33W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE TRACK WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SOUTHWESTWARD, THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS A MONSOONAL SURGE WILL DRIVE THE SYSTEM SOUTH-WESTWARD. THEN THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASING COLD AIR ENTRAINMENT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031352Z4), 032100Z6 (DTG 031952Z0), 040300Z7 (DTG 040152Z2) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040752Z8).// NNNN