WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON 26W (SHANSHAN) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- NEAR 28.8N8 167.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 167.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 31.3N7 170.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 34.1N8 173.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 38.4N5 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 42.7N3 178.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION NEAR 29.4N5 168.0E5. TYPHOON (TY) 26W (SHANSHAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 800 NM WEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 230530Z3 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 90 AND 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE STORM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ALSO NOTABLE IN IMAGERY IS THE LACK OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST, WITH THE OUTFLOW BEGINNING TO BE RESTRICTED IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. TY 26W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH SITUATED EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE INCREASINGLY NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AS IT BEGINS TO MERGE WITH THE MID-LATITUDE LOW TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID- LATITUDE TROUGH WILL SERVE TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9).//