WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON 22W (SAOMAI) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- NEAR 25.6N3 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 26.5N3 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 27.2N1 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 27.6N5 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 28.2N2 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 31.0N4 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.8N5 129.9E1. TYPHOON (TY) 22W (SAOMAI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 140 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS A 23 NM WELL DEFINED EYE SURROUNDED BY INTENSE CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WIND PRODUCTS INDICATE WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. TY 22W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD AFTER THIS TIME INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH WILL BE CREATED BY AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 40 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (BOPHA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN