SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TYPHOON 13W (JELAWAT) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- NEAR 22.0N4 149.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 149.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 22.4N8 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 23.1N6 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 23.8N3 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 24.7N3 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.2N0 137.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.1N5 148.8E1. TYPHOON (TY) 13W (JELAWAT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF IWO JIMA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 012330Z9 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 TO 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 7 NM ROUND EYE WITH A BANDING FEATURE EAST WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHERN QUADRANT. A 011931Z5 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION PASS DEPICTS A 120 NM DIAMETER SYSTEM WITH BANDING EVIDENT SOUTHWEST AND EAST. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS BENEATH RIDGING SITUATED BETWEEN TWO TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC LOWS. MID-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED EAST OF JAPAN SHOULD REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE PERIOD. TY 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TY 13W SHOULD INTENSIFY THROUGH 24 HOURS UNDER A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0).// BT #XXXX NNNN