Tropical Cyclone Warning for Shipping

Bulletin issued at 16:00 HKT 15/Jul/2000

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SEAS NEAR XISHA HAS INTENSIFIED INTO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
AT 150600 GMT, TROPICAL DEPRESSION WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 996
HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX
POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR
DEGREES EAST (114.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT
ABOUT 8 KT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER SOUTH
SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AT 160600 GMT
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)

FORECAST POSITION AT 170600 GMT
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E)

The Hong Kong Observatory's tropical cyclone warnings for shipping are issued about two hours after the time of observation. They incorporate additional information derived from surface and upper-air data and may therefore be slightly different from the real-time satellite or radar-based positions given in the hourly bulletins for public.
Average errors in the 24 and 48-hour forecast positions are of the order of 150 and 300 kilometres respectively.

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