WTPN32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (KAI-TAK) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- NEAR 20.1N3 118.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 118.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 20.6N8 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.1N4 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 21.7N0 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 22.4N8 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 23.9N4 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 20.2N4 118.8E8. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 06W (KAI-TAK), LOCATED NORTHWEST OF LUZON, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH CONVECTION INCREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE AND CONSOLIDATING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A BANDING EYE IS BECOMING EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST UNDER THE STEERING OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING IN EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE TRACK WILL BEGIN TO ACCELERATE AS THE RIDGE BUILDS DRIVING THE SYSTEM INTO SOUTHEASTERN CHINA. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED NEAR SHANTOU, CHINA AT 090000Z9. TS 06W (KAI-TAK) IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061952Z3), 070300Z0 (DTG 070152Z5), 070900Z6 (DTG 070752Z1) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071352Z8). REFER TO TYPHOON KIROGI (05W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN